CAPITAL KEY NV

Stock vs Real Estate - Prepared by Phil Frayssinoux

Adjust the numbers as you see fit to compare any liquidity you may have that could be invested — for example, either putting $X into stocks or using $X as a down payment and taking out a mortgage. I didn't even add a comparison for simply keeping the cash sitting in your account for years, because you already know what I'm going to say…Never leave money sleeping!!

Stocks equities

Position
$
$
Market assumptions
%
Total return: price growth + reinvested dividends. Try the scenario buttons above to see conservative/aggressive cases, or type your own.
%
How much a real year can swing above or below the expected return. ~15–18% is typical for a broad stock index; individual stocks run higher.
Scenario testing
Simulates 1,000 random paths using your expected return and volatility above, so you can see a realistic range of outcomes instead of one number — updates live as you tweak assumptions.
Exit
%
Applied once, at the end, to total gains only — as if the whole position were sold on the final day.

Real Estate property

Use
Purchase
$
%
$
Fill down payment $ + down % and the purchase price fills in — or edit price + down % and the down payment $ fills in.
%
Financing
%
yrs
Rental income
%
$
Rent auto-fills from price × cap rate ÷ 12 — edit it directly to override, or touch the cap rate again to snap it back.
%/yr
%
%
Ongoing costs
$/yr
$
$/yr
$/mo
Annual cash flow over time
Year 1 Year 10 Year 20 Year 30
Rent$0$0$0$0
− Vacancy$0$0$0$0
− Mgmt fee$0$0$0$0
− Mortgage$0$0$0$0
− Prop. tax$0$0$0$0
− Insurance$0$0$0$0
− Maintenance$0$0$0$0
− HOA$0$0$0$0
Net cash flow$0$0$0$0
Appreciation & exit
%/yr
%
%
Stocks — net worth after years
$0
Real estate — net worth after years
$0
Stocks — balance over time Real estate — equity over time